Impact of monetary policy on economic growth in Nigeria (1990-2020)

Authors

  • Ridwan Olamilekan Dauda Kwara State University, Malete, Nigeria
  • Muhammed Abdulkareem Kwara State Internal Revenue Service, Ilorin. Nigeria

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.24191/jeeir.v11i1.19216

Keywords:

Economic growth, Monetary policy rate, ARDL, Nigeria

Abstract

Improving the rate of growth of real Gross Domestic Product (RGDP) has continued to be the most important policy of many countries, especially, the developing ones. Given the importance of ensuring economic growth in reducing poverty and ensuring improved welfare, it is imperative to identify its various determinants. Studies have identified the various determinants of economic growth, however, sustained economic growth continues to be a misery in Nigeria. This present study aims to determine the impact of monetary policy on economic growth in Nigeria. The study examined monetary policy on economic growth in Nigeria. In doing this, the study employed a time series data between the periods of 1990-2020. The methodology used involved examining the stationary nature of the data using Augmented Dickey-Fuller test and an ARDL bond test for examining the presence of long run relationship among the variables of the study. The short run regression conducted using ARDL regression method showed that monetary policy is an important determinant of economic growth in Nigeria. The two indicators of monetary policy used (Monetary Policy Rate, MPR and Money Growth Rate, M2) exert a significant impact on economic growth in Nigeria. Based on the findings, this study concludes that monetary policy significantly affects economic growth in Nigeria. It is recommended that policy makers in Nigeria should improve the monetary policy in such a way to increase the economic growth in Nigeria.

Author Biographies

Ridwan Olamilekan Dauda, Kwara State University, Malete, Nigeria

Ridwan Olamilekan Dauda is a graduate student of the Department of Economics and Development Studies, Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences, Kwara State University, Malete. Nigeria (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5615-3100). His research areas include monetary economics, macroeconomics, public policy, and international finance. Email: daudaridwan@yahoo.com

Muhammed Abdulkareem, Kwara State Internal Revenue Service, Ilorin. Nigeria

Muhammed Abdulkareem works at Kwara State Internal Revenue Service, Ilorin. Nigeria. Research interest are monetary policy, macroeconomics and international finance. Email: moohmanage@gmail.com.

References

African Development Bank Group, AfDB (2021). Nigeria Economic Outlook retrieved from https://www.afdb.org/en/countries-west-africa-nigeria/nigeria- economic-outlook

Aliu,T. I. (2022) Effectiveness of Monetary Policy in Stimulating Economic Growth in Nigeria. International Journal of Research in Social Science and Humanities, 3(2), 34-42.

Amiri, Z. G. & Ganye, Z. (2018). The impact of monetary policy on economic growth in america’s economy using a new approach tvp-favar. Amazonia investiga, 7(15), 58-68.

Ani, K. J. & Chigozie Onu (2021). Effect of monetary policy on economic growth in Nigeria in the post structural adjustment programme. Independent Journal of Management & Production, 12(8) ,

Anowor, O. F. & Okorie, G. C. (2016). A reassessment of the impact of monetary policy on economic growth: study of Nigeria. International Journal of Developing and Emerging Economies, 4(1), 82-90.

Antwi E., Mills, A. E. And Zhao, X. (2013). Impact of foreign direct investment on economic growth: Empirical evidence from Ghana. International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, 3(1), 18-25.

Ayodeji, A. & Oluwole, A. (2018). Impact of monetary policy on economic growth in Nigeria. Open Access Library Journal, 5(2),1-12. https://doi.org/10.4236/oalib.1104320

Bindseil, U. (2004). The operational target of monetary policy and the rise and fall of reserve position doctrine. European Central bank Working Paper Series No 372/ June 2004

Central Bank of Nigeria, CBN (2017). Monetary Policy at A Glance. Central Bank of Nigeria. Monetary Policy Department, March, 2017

Central Bank of Nigeria (2018). CBN Monetary Policy Guideline

Central Bank of Nigeria (2021). CBN Statistical Bulletin. Volume 31, December 2020. Accessed from http://statistics.cbn.gov.ng/cbn-onlinestats/DataBrowser.aspx

Chipote P. & Palesa M. (2014). Impact of monetary policy on economic growth: a case study of South Africa. Mediterranean Journal of Social Sciences, 5(15), 76-84. https://doi.org/10.5901/mjss.2014.v5n15p76

Chukwu, A.C (2009). Measuring the effects of monetary policy innovations in Nigeria. A Structural Vector Autoregressive Approach. African Journal of Accounting, Economic Finance & Banking Research, 15(5),112-129.

Dornbusch, R., Fischer, S., & Startz, R. (2011). Macroeconomics. Eleventh Edition. Mc Graw-Hill

Friedman, M. (1969). The Optimum Quantity of Money, Aldine Publishing Company.

Ikeora, P. A., Emeka, J. J., & Arinze, A. S. (2019). Impact of monetary policy on economic growth in Nigeria (1990- 2017). International Journal of Developing and Emerging Economies, 7(3), 14-21. https://www.eajournals.org/wp-content/uploads/Impact-of-Monetary-Policy-on-Economic-Growth-in-Nigeria-1990-2017.pdf

Kyari, G. V. (2015). An evaluation of the impact of monetary policy on the real sector in Nigeria. Mediterranean Journal of Social Sciences, 6(2), 361-369. https://doi.org/10.5901/mjss.2015.v6n2p361

Layi A. (1998). Moneary Economics. Perry Barr Limited.

Malaska, Pentti, Kaivo-oja, Jari & Luukkanen, Jyrki (1999) Sustainability and Economic Growth: A Theoretical Framework and Empirical Demonstrations. Futu-publication 4/99. Finland Futures Research Centre. Turku School of Economics and Business Administration. Turku.

Ministry of Budget & National Planning (2017). Economic recovery & growth plan 2017-2020. Federal Republic of Nigeria.

Muhammed, M. N., Babawulle, D. H., & Tahir, H. M. (2021). Impact of monetary policy on economic growth in Nigeria: Vector Error Correction Mechanism approach. Asian Journal of Economics, Finance and Management, 5(3), 12-22. https://globalpresshub.com/index.php/AJEFM/article/view/1253/1043

Mutuku, C. & Koech, E. (2014). Monetary and fiscal policy shocks and economic growth in Kenya: VAR econometric approach. Journal of World Economic, 3(6), 95-108

Ndubuisi, P. (2017) Analysis of the impact of external debt on economic growth in an emerging economy: Evidence from Nigeria. African Research Review, 11(4), 156-173. https://doi.org/10.4314/afrrev.v11i4.13

Nwoko, N. M., Ihemeje, J. C. & Anumadu, E. (2016). The impact of monetary policy on the economic growth of Nigeria. AFRREV,10(3), S/NO 42, JUNE, 2016

Prince Mike Sena, Grace Nkansa Asante, William Gabriel Brafu-Insaidoo and Robert Read (2021) Monetary policy and economic growth in Ghana: Does financial development matter? Cogent Economics & Finance, 9(1), 1966918

Solow, R. M. (1956). A contribution to the theory of economic growth, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70(1), 65–94. https://doi.org/10.2307/1884513

Taylor, J.B. (1995). The monetary transmission mechanism: An empirical framework, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 9(4), 11-26.

Uchendu, O. A. (2009). Monetary Policy in Nigeria, CBN Economic and Financial Review, 33(2), 11-18.

Udah E. B. (2009). Monetary policy and Macroeconomic management: A simulation Experiment. Global Journal of Social Sciences, 8(1), 1-2.

Wash, C. E. (2010). Monetary Theory and Policy. 3rd edition, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

World Bank (2021). Country overview: Nigeria. Sourced from: https://databank.worldbank.org/home.aspx https://www.worldbank.org/en/country/nigeria/overview#1

Downloads

Published

2023-01-31

How to Cite

Dauda, R. O., & Abdulkareem, M. (2023). Impact of monetary policy on economic growth in Nigeria (1990-2020). Journal of Emerging Economies and Islamic Research, 11(1), 71–90. https://doi.org/10.24191/jeeir.v11i1.19216